¿MAYORÍA TÉCNICA O EMPATE ABSOLUTO?
Escrito por José Francisco Mendi   

mendi arts (2).jpgLlega el día de la votación y las formaciones desgranan sus últimos mensajes para conseguir los objetivos electorales. El PSOE se vuelca en la movilización y el PP en la confrontación.

Tras la doble derrota del PP en los debates mediáticos se ha impuesto un Rajoy perdedor que aspira a dar la sorpresa en la última curva. Sólo puede decir eso quien se sabe normal perdedor que se agarra al clavo ardiendo de lo inesperado para salvar los muebles de las elecciones.

Por otro lado el PSOE anima a votar llueve o truene porque se encuentra cómodo con la movilización y la pérdida de tensión que tanto preocupaba a Zapatero en su conversación con Gabilondo le puede dejar con la miel en los labios de la mayoría....absoluta. Ya no basta con ganar. El PSOE sabe que gana o, mejor, sabe que el PP ya ha perdido. Se trata de que ese esfuerzo promovido por todas las encuestas del empate técnico que tanto nos han asediado en estas elecciones no se disuelva con el propio PP. Curiosamente el PSOE necesita un PP que no se diluya tan pronto en la derrota porque su objetivo de conseguir una mayoría amplia está íntimamente unido al miedo de que pueda ganar el PP. Bonita contradicción.

Ahora que la percepción social es de una victoria cómoda del PSOE es cuando Zapatero se encuentra incómodo. Si pierde la tensión pierde la mayoría absoluta. Y aquí aparece la clave de Izquierda Unida. El PSOE sabe que si concentra el voto de toda la izquierda, a través de la angustia de votantes progresistas temerosos de una victoria del PP, la mayoría absoluta está al alcance de la mano.

En la medida en que se diluya el miedo muchos votantes de izquierda pueden situarse en su opción natural de IU y, de paso, ser determinantes desde la izquierda para condicionar un futuro gobierno sin mayoría absoluta que tuviera que llegar a acuerdos con IU. Los votantes de izquierda no quieren ni oír hablar de mayoría absoluta porque les viene a la memoria tiempos de infausto recuerdo.

Quizás el error del PSOE, con la ayuda del PP, ha sido ganar antes de tiempo. Quizás no contaba con las torpezas de Rajoy ni con la niña de su cabeza. Quizás el fenómeno de la niña lo hemos entendido mal y se refería don Mariano a la tormenta cerebral y electoral de devastadoras consecuencias, para la derecha, como conclusión del cambio climático del que tanto dudaba su primo.

El caso es que en estas  últimas horas hemos pasado del empate técnico a las puertas de la mayoría absoluta. Para cruzar ese umbral Zapatero necesita que el PP no se rinda tan pronto. O la desolación del Óbelix del PSOE ante la huida de los romanos del PP puede producir depresión electoral ahora que ya acariciaba ese poder absoluto. En todo caso una buena noticia para la democracia si los votantes ejercen su derecho sin miedo y sin angustia. Votando lo que quieren y no por lo que temen. Es la oportunidad de un parlamento multicolor y plural. Es la oportunidad de Izquierda Unida.

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Anónimo   | | 11-12-2012 04:27:14
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